Even though
world’s population increases, population of Europe and Portugal decreases year
after year. Population of Portugal increased by a declining ratio until 2010,
but from 2010 to 2015 population decreased by an increasing ratio.
When we looked
at change in age structure of the population of Portugal, we can easily say
that young population decreases, old population increases because of declining
population, so Portugal gets older.
There are
several reasons and results of declining population and became an old
population. In my opinion, reasons of Portugal’s and Europe’s declining population
differ from each other. Even though most of European country’s community and
family structures are broken, Portugal has very strong family and community
structure. Portugal loses its population because of economic issues and crises.
When we looked
at the year 2010 in which growth rate of the Portugal’s population was under
zero for the first time, there were effects of 2008 economic crisis. Even
though it is an worldwide crisis, Portugal was affected deeply because of its
banking system. As a result of crisis, life in Portugal was harder than before,
there were uncertainty and worry about future. In such a situation, birth rate
decreased, but declining birth rate isn’t the only reason to get an increasing older
population and that it isn’t, also, only the result of the crisis.
Due to the
crisis, unemployment rate has increased, so government’s social security
payments increased. Government got a loan from IMF to make social security
payments. Some restrictions were imposed by IMF to Portuguese economy and
business life. Young people migrated to other European countries with better life,
work conditions and job opportunities turn harder because of restrictions and
unemployment. As a result, Portugal lost its young population to other European
countries.
As result of
becoming an older population, Portugal isa loosing its productivity, labor and dynamics.
Government’s social security payments are increasing but there will be not
enough productive population to recover the consume old population’s wants, wages,
expenditures in the future if Portugal looses its population by an increasing
ratio like that.
Government
should provide job opporunities to young people and encourage people to
increase birth rates to keep population young.
Aziz Yılmaz
[artigo de opinião produzido no âmbito da unidade curricular “Economia Portuguesa e Europeia” do 3º ano do curso de Economia (1º ciclo) da
EEG/UMinho]
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